Stock Analysis

Woori Technology's (KOSDAQ:032820) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality

KOSDAQ:A032820
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Woori Technology, Inc. (KOSDAQ:032820) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

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KOSDAQ:A032820 Earnings and Revenue History March 25th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Woori Technology's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Woori Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.25. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of ₩5.03b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₩28b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of ₩28b, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that it seems that a recent tax benefit and some unusual items have impacted its profit (and this its accrual ratio).

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Woori Technology.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Unfortunately (in the short term) Woori Technology saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth ₩761m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Woori Technology to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Woori Technology received a tax benefit of ₩517m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. We're sure the company was pleased with its tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal.

Our Take On Woori Technology's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Woori Technology's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, in part due to the tax benefit it received; but the fact unusual items actually weighed on profit may create upside if those unusual items do not recur. After taking into account all the aforementioned observations we think that Woori Technology's profits probably give a generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Woori Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Woori Technology you should be mindful of and 2 of these are a bit concerning.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.