Stock Analysis

Is Kmw (KOSDAQ:032500) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A032500
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Kmw Inc. (KOSDAQ:032500) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kmw

What Is Kmw's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Kmw had debt of ₩71.8b, up from ₩43.6b in one year. However, it also had ₩67.7b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩4.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A032500 Debt to Equity History December 27th 2024

How Strong Is Kmw's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kmw had liabilities of ₩106.3b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩24.4b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩67.7b in cash and ₩20.0b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩43.0b.

Given Kmw has a market capitalization of ₩354.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Kmw has a very light debt load indeed. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kmw's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Kmw made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₩85b, which is a fall of 29%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Kmw's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩53b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₩73b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kmw you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kmw might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.