Stock Analysis

Is Alchera (KOSDAQ:347860) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A347860
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Alchera Inc. (KOSDAQ:347860) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Alchera

What Is Alchera's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Alchera had debt of ₩8.09b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from ₩11.6b over a year. However, it also had ₩4.55b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩3.55b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A347860 Debt to Equity History November 13th 2024

A Look At Alchera's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Alchera had liabilities of ₩10.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩5.08b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₩4.55b in cash and ₩2.01b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩9.38b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Alchera has a market capitalization of ₩44.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Alchera will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Alchera reported revenue of ₩14b, which is a gain of 23%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Alchera still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₩16b. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled ₩17b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Alchera you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.