Stock Analysis

Is EXEM (KOSDAQ:205100) A Risky Investment?

KOSDAQ:A205100
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, EXEM Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:205100) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for EXEM

What Is EXEM's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that EXEM had ₩4.32b in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it does have ₩46.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₩41.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A205100 Debt to Equity History April 10th 2021

How Healthy Is EXEM's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that EXEM had liabilities of ₩9.00b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩4.82b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₩46.2b in cash and ₩6.61b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has ₩39.0b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that EXEM is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that EXEM has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that EXEM has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is EXEM's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While EXEM has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, EXEM's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case EXEM has ₩41.9b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 52% over the last year. So is EXEM's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for EXEM you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About KOSDAQ:A205100

EXEM

Operates as an IT performance management and big data platform company Korea and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with questionable track record.

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