Stock Analysis

We Think KSIGNLtd (KOSDAQ:192250) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KOSDAQ:A192250
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that KSIGN Co.,Ltd. (KOSDAQ:192250) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for KSIGNLtd

What Is KSIGNLtd's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 KSIGNLtd had debt of ₩63.5b, up from ₩51.3b in one year. However, it also had ₩58.7b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩4.82b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A192250 Debt to Equity History August 12th 2024

How Healthy Is KSIGNLtd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that KSIGNLtd had liabilities of ₩8.40b due within a year, and liabilities of ₩63.5b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩58.7b as well as receivables valued at ₩8.59b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩4.66b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, KSIGNLtd has a market capitalization of ₩70.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

KSIGNLtd has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.0 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.0 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Shareholders should be aware that KSIGNLtd's EBIT was down 72% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is KSIGNLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, KSIGNLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both KSIGNLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that KSIGNLtd's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for KSIGNLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KSIGNLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.