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What YeaRimDang Publishing Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:036000) 72% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
YeaRimDang Publishing Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:036000) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 72% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 56%.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Korea have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider YeaRimDang Publishing as a stock to avoid entirely with its 20x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at YeaRimDang Publishing over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for YeaRimDang Publishing
Although there are no analyst estimates available for YeaRimDang Publishing, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as YeaRimDang Publishing's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 69%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 97% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 32% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that YeaRimDang Publishing's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got YeaRimDang Publishing's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that YeaRimDang Publishing currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for YeaRimDang Publishing you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on YeaRimDang Publishing, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSDAQ:A036000
YeaRimDang Publishing
YeaRimDang Publishing Co., Ltd. publishes books for children in South Korea.
Mediocre balance sheet low.