Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Oricom Inc. (KOSDAQ:010470) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

KOSDAQ:A010470
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Oricom Inc. (KOSDAQ:010470) is about to go ex-dividend in just four days. You can purchase shares before the 29th of December in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 23rd of April.

Oricom's next dividend payment will be ₩220 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed ₩220 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Oricom has a trailing yield of 4.3% on the current share price of ₩5160. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Oricom's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for Oricom

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Oricom paid out 124% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. What's good is that dividends were well covered by free cash flow, with the company paying out 22% of its cash flow last year.

It's good to see that while Oricom's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit Oricom paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
KOSDAQ:A010470 Historic Dividend December 24th 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Oricom's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 5.9% a year over the previous five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. In the past 10 years, Oricom has increased its dividend at approximately 8.2% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Oricom is already paying out 124% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

The Bottom Line

Has Oricom got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 124% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

Although, if you're still interested in Oricom and want to know more, you'll find it very useful to know what risks this stock faces. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 4 warning signs with Oricom and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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