Stock Analysis

We Think Hyosung TNC (KRX:298020) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

KOSE:A298020
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Hyosung TNC Corporation (KRX:298020) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hyosung TNC

What Is Hyosung TNC's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hyosung TNC had ₩1.28t of debt in December 2023, down from ₩1.60t, one year before. However, it also had ₩128.9b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩1.15t.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A298020 Debt to Equity History April 18th 2024

A Look At Hyosung TNC's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hyosung TNC had liabilities of ₩1.88t due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩620.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩128.9b as well as receivables valued at ₩949.7b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩1.42t.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₩1.47t, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hyosung TNC's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hyosung TNC's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.5 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.6 times last year. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It is well worth noting that Hyosung TNC's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 73% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hyosung TNC can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Hyosung TNC's free cash flow amounted to 26% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Hyosung TNC's interest cover and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Hyosung TNC's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hyosung TNC you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.