Stock Analysis

Is StarFlex (KOSDAQ:115570) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

KOSDAQ:A115570
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies StarFlex Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:115570) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for StarFlex

What Is StarFlex's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that StarFlex had ₩55.7b of debt in September 2020, down from ₩59.7b, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A115570 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2021

How Strong Is StarFlex's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, StarFlex had liabilities of ₩47.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩21.9b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩660.3m and ₩15.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩53.1b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩45.1b, we think shareholders really should watch StarFlex's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is StarFlex's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year StarFlex had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 24%, to ₩75b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did StarFlex's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₩3.4b. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of ₩4.5b over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for StarFlex you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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