Stock Analysis

Is PCL (KOSDAQ:241820) Using Too Much Debt?

KOSDAQ:A241820
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that PCL, Inc. (KOSDAQ:241820) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for PCL

What Is PCL's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, PCL had ₩6.15b of debt, up from ₩1.30b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₩4.66b in cash leading to net debt of about ₩1.49b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSDAQ:A241820 Debt to Equity History February 18th 2021

A Look At PCL's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that PCL had liabilities of ₩14.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩796.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩4.66b and ₩1.16b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩9.88b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded PCL shares are worth a total of ₩331.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, PCL has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

PCL has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.061 and EBIT of 62.9 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Although PCL made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated ₩23b in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is PCL's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, PCL burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

PCL's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. It's also worth noting that PCL is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Considering this range of data points, we think PCL is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that PCL is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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