Stock Analysis
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- KOSE:A031440
Shareholders Can Be Confident That SHINSEGAE FOOD's (KRX:031440) Earnings Are High Quality
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that SHINSEGAE FOOD Inc.'s (KRX:031440) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
See our latest analysis for SHINSEGAE FOOD
Examining Cashflow Against SHINSEGAE FOOD's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
SHINSEGAE FOOD has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of ₩64b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of ₩12.7b. SHINSEGAE FOOD's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
SHINSEGAE FOOD's profit was reduced by unusual items worth ₩3.9b in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect SHINSEGAE FOOD to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.
Our Take On SHINSEGAE FOOD's Profit Performance
Considering both SHINSEGAE FOOD's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think SHINSEGAE FOOD's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing SHINSEGAE FOOD at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that SHINSEGAE FOOD has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore it.
After our examination into the nature of SHINSEGAE FOOD's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A031440
SHINSEGAE FOOD
Engages in the food manufacture, food distribution, eating and drinking, and consignment meal service businesses in South Korea.