David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Kyungbang Co.,Ltd (KRX:000050) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for KyungbangLtd
How Much Debt Does KyungbangLtd Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 KyungbangLtd had debt of ₩324.7b, up from ₩311.4b in one year. However, it also had ₩91.1b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩233.6b.
How Strong Is KyungbangLtd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, KyungbangLtd had liabilities of ₩353.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩284.8b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩91.1b and ₩54.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩492.2b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₩331.7b, we think shareholders really should watch KyungbangLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
KyungbangLtd's debt is 3.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.3 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Worse, KyungbangLtd's EBIT was down 26% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since KyungbangLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, KyungbangLtd reported free cash flow worth 11% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, KyungbangLtd's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like KyungbangLtd has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for KyungbangLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About KOSE:A000050
Kyungbangco.Ltd
Engages in textile spinning and real estate development businesses in South Korea.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.