Stock Analysis

Heng Sheng Holding Group Limited's (KOSDAQ:900270) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 27%

KOSDAQ:A900270
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Heng Sheng Holding Group Limited (KOSDAQ:900270) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 24%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Heng Sheng Holding Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Leisure industry in Korea, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Heng Sheng Holding Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A900270 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 12th 2024

What Does Heng Sheng Holding Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Heng Sheng Holding Group recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Heng Sheng Holding Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Heng Sheng Holding Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Heng Sheng Holding Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.5% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 3.4% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Heng Sheng Holding Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Heng Sheng Holding Group's P/S?

Following Heng Sheng Holding Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Heng Sheng Holding Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Heng Sheng Holding Group (at least 3 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heng Sheng Holding Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.