Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zero to Seven Inc. (KOSDAQ:159580) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Zero to Seven
How Much Debt Does Zero to Seven Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zero to Seven had ₩17.0b of debt in September 2020, down from ₩30.0b, one year before. However, it does have ₩11.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₩5.10b.
How Strong Is Zero to Seven's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zero to Seven had liabilities of ₩35.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₩8.56b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩11.9b as well as receivables valued at ₩13.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₩18.8b.
Of course, Zero to Seven has a market capitalization of ₩182.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.62 and interest cover of 5.2 times, it seems to us that Zero to Seven is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Importantly, Zero to Seven's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 67% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zero to Seven's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Zero to Seven actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Zero to Seven is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Zero to Seven is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Zero to Seven you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About KOSDAQ:A159580
Zero to Seven
Operates as a childcare company in South Korea and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet very low.