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Is Korea Aerospace Industries (KRX:047810) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Korea Aerospace Industries, Ltd. (KRX:047810) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Korea Aerospace Industries
How Much Debt Does Korea Aerospace Industries Carry?
As you can see below, Korea Aerospace Industries had ₩728.1b of debt at September 2024, down from ₩907.3b a year prior. However, it also had ₩126.7b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩601.4b.
How Healthy Is Korea Aerospace Industries' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Korea Aerospace Industries had liabilities of ₩4.37t due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩1.37t due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₩126.7b as well as receivables valued at ₩392.5b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩5.22t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₩6.60t. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Korea Aerospace Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 30.1 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Korea Aerospace Industries grew its EBIT by 170% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Korea Aerospace Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Korea Aerospace Industries created free cash flow amounting to 6.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
Both Korea Aerospace Industries's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Korea Aerospace Industries's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Korea Aerospace Industries .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About KOSE:A047810
Korea Aerospace Industries
Manufactures and sells fixed and rotary wing aircrafts, and airframe products in South Korea.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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