The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Kyung Dong Navien Co., Ltd. (KRX:009450) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Kyung Dong Navien Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Kyung Dong Navien had debt of ₩162.1b, up from ₩154.8b in one year. However, it also had ₩28.5b in cash, and so its net debt is ₩133.6b.
A Look At Kyung Dong Navien's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Kyung Dong Navien had liabilities of ₩342.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₩56.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₩28.5b and ₩95.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₩275.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Kyung Dong Navien has a market capitalization of ₩686.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Kyung Dong Navien's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 21.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Kyung Dong Navien grew its EBIT by 76% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kyung Dong Navien will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Kyung Dong Navien saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Kyung Dong Navien's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Kyung Dong Navien is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Kyung Dong Navien , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About KOSE:A009450
Kyung Dong Navien
Manufactures and sells machinery and heat combustion equipment in South Korea.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.