Stock Analysis

Here's Why CHASYS (KRX:033250) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

KOSE:A033250
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that CHASYS Co., Ltd. (KRX:033250) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is CHASYS's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CHASYS had ₩23.0b of debt in December 2023, down from ₩26.3b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₩2.97b, its net debt is less, at about ₩20.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
KOSE:A033250 Debt to Equity History May 8th 2024

How Strong Is CHASYS' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CHASYS had liabilities of ₩44.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₩12.6b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₩2.97b in cash and ₩19.2b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₩35.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₩43.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on CHASYS' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While CHASYS's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.7 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. We also note that CHASYS improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive ₩8.0b. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is CHASYS's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent year, CHASYS recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for CHASYS was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its level of total liabilities makes us a little nervous about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about CHASYS's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with CHASYS .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.