Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Daedong Gear Co., Ltd.'s (KOSDAQ:008830) Massive 27% Price Jump

KOSDAQ:A008830
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The Daedong Gear Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:008830) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 27%. The last month tops off a massive increase of 109% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Daedong Gear's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 43.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Korea, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

For example, consider that Daedong Gear's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Daedong Gear

pe-multiple-vs-industry
KOSDAQ:A008830 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 24th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Daedong Gear will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Daedong Gear's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 34% decrease to the company's bottom line. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 19% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 32% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Daedong Gear is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Daedong Gear's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Daedong Gear revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Having said that, be aware Daedong Gear is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.