SG HoldingsLtd Valuation

Is 9143 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9143 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9143 (¥1559.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3143.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9143 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9143?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

9143 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.4x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9143's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9143 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20x
9147 Nippon Express HoldingsInc
27.7x19.6%JP¥637.2b
9064 Yamato Holdings
26.2x23.5%JP¥552.2b
9065 Sankyu
10.7x2.6%JP¥279.2b
9302 MITSUI-SOKO HOLDINGS
15.4x2.9%JP¥174.3b
9143 SG HoldingsLtd
16.6x7.3%JP¥975.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9143 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9143's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9143 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the JP Logistics industry average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9143's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9143 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9143 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9143 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,559.50
JP¥1,786.50
+14.6%
15.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00n/a10
Nov ’25JP¥1,517.50
JP¥1,786.50
+17.7%
15.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00n/a10
Oct ’25JP¥1,538.50
JP¥1,751.67
+13.9%
15.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥1,580.50
JP¥1,879.44
+18.9%
18.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥1,511.00
JP¥1,879.44
+24.4%
18.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,300.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥1,468.00
JP¥1,925.00
+31.1%
18.2%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,350.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥1,588.00
JP¥2,012.78
+26.7%
16.3%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,350.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥1,685.50
JP¥2,185.00
+29.6%
11.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,800.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥1,897.50
JP¥2,206.25
+16.3%
9.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,900.00n/a8
Mar ’25JP¥1,885.00
JP¥2,206.25
+17.0%
9.0%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,900.00n/a8
Feb ’25JP¥1,904.50
JP¥2,287.50
+20.1%
9.3%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,900.00n/a8
Jan ’25JP¥2,024.00
JP¥2,347.78
+16.0%
9.9%JP¥2,630.00JP¥1,900.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥2,102.00
JP¥2,347.78
+11.7%
9.9%JP¥2,630.00JP¥1,900.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥2,181.00
JP¥2,348.00
+7.7%
9.5%JP¥2,630.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,517.5010
Oct ’24JP¥1,915.00
JP¥2,380.50
+24.3%
8.8%JP¥2,630.00JP¥2,050.00JP¥1,538.5010
Sep ’24JP¥2,134.00
JP¥2,417.50
+13.3%
10.0%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,050.00JP¥1,580.5010
Aug ’24JP¥2,076.50
JP¥2,437.50
+17.4%
9.6%JP¥2,800.00JP¥2,050.00JP¥1,511.0010
Jul ’24JP¥2,047.50
JP¥2,399.00
+17.2%
10.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,468.0010
Jun ’24JP¥2,086.00
JP¥2,432.22
+16.6%
12.5%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,588.009
May ’24JP¥2,047.00
JP¥2,454.44
+19.9%
13.7%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,850.00JP¥1,685.509
Apr ’24JP¥1,960.00
JP¥2,503.33
+27.7%
12.9%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,897.509
Mar ’24JP¥1,952.00
JP¥2,483.00
+27.2%
12.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,885.0010
Feb ’24JP¥1,993.00
JP¥2,513.00
+26.1%
16.2%JP¥3,500.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥1,904.5010
Jan ’24JP¥1,830.00
JP¥2,640.00
+44.3%
14.6%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,024.0011
Dec ’23JP¥2,115.00
JP¥2,721.82
+28.7%
13.7%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,102.0011
Nov ’23JP¥2,007.00
JP¥2,758.18
+37.4%
13.0%JP¥3,500.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,181.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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