Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd.

TSE:9064 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥591.1b

Yamato Holdings Valuation

Is 9064 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9064 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9064 (¥1723.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥5046.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9064 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9064?

Key metric: As 9064 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9064. This is calculated by dividing 9064's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9064's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.1x
EarningsJP¥21.07b
Market CapJP¥591.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9064's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9064 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.2x
9147 Nippon Express HoldingsInc
25.1x17.8%JP¥627.2b
9143 SG HoldingsLtd
15.6x7.4%JP¥914.7b
9065 Sankyu
11x3.2%JP¥288.2b
9069 SENKO Group Holdings
13.1x11.3%JP¥229.6b
9064 Yamato Holdings
28.1x26.3%JP¥591.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9064 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9064's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
9064 28.1xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9064 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x) compared to the JP Logistics industry average (12x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9064's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9064 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9064 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9064 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,723.50
JP¥1,735.00
+0.7%
10.6%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,500.00n/a10
Dec ’25JP¥1,727.50
JP¥1,745.00
+1.0%
11.7%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,500.00n/a10
Nov ’25JP¥1,592.00
JP¥1,797.50
+12.9%
10.9%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,600.00n/a10
Oct ’25JP¥1,633.50
JP¥1,867.50
+14.3%
12.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,600.00n/a10
Sep ’25JP¥1,692.00
JP¥2,092.50
+23.7%
17.8%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,650.00n/a10
Aug ’25JP¥1,794.00
JP¥2,132.50
+18.9%
17.5%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,650.00n/a10
Jul ’25JP¥1,751.50
JP¥2,152.50
+22.9%
16.3%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,750.00n/a10
Jun ’25JP¥1,802.00
JP¥2,152.50
+19.5%
16.3%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,750.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥2,040.00
JP¥2,622.22
+28.5%
11.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,200.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥2,159.50
JP¥2,644.44
+22.5%
10.7%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,300.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥2,284.00
JP¥2,702.22
+18.3%
8.8%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,400.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥2,548.50
JP¥2,842.00
+11.5%
8.9%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥2,605.50
JP¥2,705.00
+3.8%
13.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,830.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥2,624.50
JP¥2,705.00
+3.1%
13.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,830.00JP¥1,727.5010
Nov ’24JP¥2,553.50
JP¥2,690.91
+5.4%
12.9%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,830.00JP¥1,592.0011
Oct ’24JP¥2,435.00
JP¥2,731.82
+12.2%
12.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,830.00JP¥1,633.5011
Sep ’24JP¥2,721.00
JP¥2,721.82
+0.03%
12.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,692.0011
Aug ’24JP¥2,664.50
JP¥2,635.45
-1.1%
12.3%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,794.0011
Jul ’24JP¥2,603.00
JP¥2,608.18
+0.2%
12.2%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,751.5011
Jun ’24JP¥2,568.00
JP¥2,549.09
-0.7%
11.5%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,802.0011
May ’24JP¥2,365.00
JP¥2,558.18
+8.2%
10.6%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,040.0011
Apr ’24JP¥2,269.00
JP¥2,558.18
+12.7%
10.6%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,159.5011
Mar ’24JP¥2,290.00
JP¥2,529.17
+10.4%
10.5%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥2,284.0012
Feb ’24JP¥2,248.00
JP¥2,486.36
+10.6%
11.7%JP¥2,900.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥2,548.5011
Jan ’24JP¥2,087.00
JP¥2,541.67
+21.8%
10.9%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,605.5012
Dec ’23JP¥2,343.00
JP¥2,570.83
+9.7%
12.3%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00JP¥2,624.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 13:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. is covered by 34 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ryota HimenoBarclays
Hironori NakakuraBofA Global Research
Naoko MatsumotoCitigroup Global Markets Japan Inc.