Stock Analysis

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' (TSE:9104) Dividend Is Being Reduced To ¥100.00

TSE:9104
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Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. (TSE:9104) has announced that on 27th of November, it will be paying a dividend of¥100.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. However, the dividend yield of 3.9% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 14.9%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 47%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
TSE:9104 Historic Dividend July 25th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥20.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥180.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 57% per annum. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

Our Thoughts On Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. While Mitsui O.S.K. Lines is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Mitsui O.S.K. Lines is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.