Stock Analysis

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' (TSE:9104) Dividend Is Being Reduced To ¥100.00

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. (TSE:9104) has announced that on 27th of November, it will be paying a dividend of¥100.00, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. However, the dividend yield of 3.9% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Mitsui O.S.K. Lines was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 14.9%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 47%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
TSE:9104 Historic Dividend July 25th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥20.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥180.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 57% per annum. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

Our Thoughts On Mitsui O.S.K. Lines' Dividend

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. While Mitsui O.S.K. Lines is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Mitsui O.S.K. Lines is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Mitsui O.S.K. Lines you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:9104

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines

Provides marine transportation and vessel chartering services in Japan, North America, Europe, Singapore, rest of Asia, and internationally.

Average dividend payer and fair value.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25377.2% overvalued
41 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.3% undervalued
48 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6411.3% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
ABNB logo
yiannisz on Airbnb ·

Airbnb Stock: Platform Growth in a World of Saturation and Scrutiny

Fair Value:US$159.714.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
ADBE logo
yiannisz on Adobe ·

Adobe Stock: AI-Fueled ARR Growth Pushes Guidance Higher, But Cost Pressures Loom

Fair Value:US$391.258.6% undervalued
8 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
2 users have liked this narrative
YI
TRI logo
yiannisz on Thomson Reuters ·

Thomson Reuters Stock: When Legal Intelligence Becomes Mission-Critical Infrastructure

Fair Value:CA$201.979.4% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8685.5% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3926.6% undervalued
980 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative
RO
RobertoAllende
NVDA logo
RobertoAllende on NVIDIA ·

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation

Fair Value:US$345.0746.8% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
28 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative