Earnings Miss: Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha Missed EPS By 20% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

As you might know, Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (TSE:9101) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at JP¥601b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 20%, coming in at just JP¥121 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from eleven analysts covering Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha is for revenues of JP¥2.38t in 2026. This implies a noticeable 6.1% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to nosedive 33% to JP¥667 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥2.39t and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥616 in 2026. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's earnings potential following these results.

View our latest analysis for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of JP¥5,348, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha analyst has a price target of JP¥6,900 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥3,530. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 8.1% by the end of 2026. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 9.5% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 0.06% per year. It's pretty clear that Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥5,348, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.