SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. Just Missed EPS By 7.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:9069) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.1% to JP¥1,428 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Revenues of JP¥228b were in line with forecasts, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in below expectations at JP¥35.93, missing estimates by 7.4%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for SENKO Group Holdings

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for SENKO Group Holdings from seven analysts is for revenues of JP¥916.4b in 2026. If met, it would imply a notable 9.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 43% to JP¥142. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥911.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥141 in 2026. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at JP¥1,684. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on SENKO Group Holdings, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at JP¥2,000 and the most bearish at JP¥1,250 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of SENKO Group Holdings'historical trends, as the 7.5% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 is roughly in line with the 8.9% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 4.3% annually. So although SENKO Group Holdings is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥1,684, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple SENKO Group Holdings analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with SENKO Group Holdings (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.