Keisei Electric Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9009) will pay a dividend of ¥9.00 on the 3rd of December. This makes the dividend yield 1.5%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Keisei Electric Railway's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Keisei Electric Railway's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 2.5% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 19%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
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Keisei Electric Railway Has A Solid Track Record
The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥4.00 total annually to ¥21.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 18% over that duration. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. We are encouraged to see that Keisei Electric Railway has grown earnings per share at 73% per year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.
Our Thoughts On Keisei Electric Railway's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Keisei Electric Railway's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. To that end, Keisei Electric Railway has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9009
Keisei Electric Railway
Engages in the provision of public railway transportation services for local communities in Japan.
Fair value with low risk.
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