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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9007) Low P/E
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.8x Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9007) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Odakyu Electric Railway as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Odakyu Electric Railway
Keen to find out how analysts think Odakyu Electric Railway's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Any Growth For Odakyu Electric Railway?
Odakyu Electric Railway's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 58% gain to the company's bottom line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 26% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Odakyu Electric Railway is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Odakyu Electric Railway's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Odakyu Electric Railway (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9007
Odakyu Electric Railway
Engages in the transportation, real estate, merchandising, and other businesses in Japan.
Proven track record slight.