Stock Analysis

Odakyu Electric Railway (TSE:9007) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥15.00

TSE:9007
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Odakyu Electric Railway Co., Ltd. (TSE:9007) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥15.00 per share on the 2nd of December. This makes the dividend yield 1.8%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Odakyu Electric Railway

Odakyu Electric Railway's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, Odakyu Electric Railway was paying a whopping 96% as a dividend, but this only made up 11% of its overall earnings. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 42.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 22%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

historic-dividend
TSE:9007 Historic Dividend September 2nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥16.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥30.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.5% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Odakyu Electric Railway might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that Odakyu Electric Railway has grown earnings per share at 27% per year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

Our Thoughts On Odakyu Electric Railway's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Odakyu Electric Railway you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant. Is Odakyu Electric Railway not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.