U-NEXT HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd.

TSE:9418 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥295.8b

U-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd Valuation

Is 9418 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9418 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9418 (¥4975) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥4279.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9418 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9418?

Key metric: As 9418 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9418. This is calculated by dividing 9418's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9418's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.5x
EarningsJP¥15.36b
Market CapJP¥295.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9418's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9418 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
4423 ARTERIA Networks
17x4.6%JP¥98.8b
3843 FreeBit
7.8x4.8%JP¥27.3b
9450 Fibergate
12.1x16.4%JP¥18.7b
4347 Broadmedia
40.7x26.9%JP¥10.8b
9418 U-NEXT HOLDINGSLtd
19.5x7.6%JP¥295.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9418 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the peer average (20.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9418's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Telecom Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9418 19.5xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies19PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9418 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the Asian Telecom industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9418's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9418 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 9418 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9418 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,975.00
JP¥5,577.50
+12.1%
7.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a4
Nov ’25JP¥4,790.00
JP¥5,577.50
+16.4%
7.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a4
Oct ’25JP¥5,430.00
JP¥5,510.00
+1.5%
7.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a4
Sep ’25JP¥5,660.00
JP¥5,533.33
-2.2%
8.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
Aug ’25JP¥4,960.00
JP¥5,533.33
+11.6%
8.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
Jul ’25JP¥4,440.00
JP¥5,533.33
+24.6%
8.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
Jun ’25JP¥4,640.00
JP¥5,533.33
+19.3%
8.1%JP¥6,100.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
May ’25JP¥4,340.00
JP¥5,376.67
+23.9%
5.1%JP¥5,630.00JP¥5,000.00n/a3
Apr ’25JP¥5,120.00
JP¥5,076.67
-0.8%
9.1%JP¥5,630.00JP¥4,500.00n/a3
Mar ’25JP¥4,635.00
JP¥4,800.00
+3.6%
5.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,500.00n/a3
Feb ’25JP¥4,315.00
JP¥4,800.00
+11.2%
5.1%JP¥5,100.00JP¥4,500.00n/a3
Jan ’25JP¥4,025.00
JP¥4,500.00
+11.8%
5.4%JP¥4,800.00JP¥4,200.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥3,750.00
JP¥4,300.00
+14.7%
8.7%JP¥4,800.00JP¥3,900.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥3,485.00
JP¥4,000.00
+14.8%
2.0%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥4,790.003
Oct ’24JP¥3,350.00
JP¥4,000.00
+19.4%
2.0%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥5,430.003
Sep ’24JP¥3,600.00
JP¥4,000.00
+11.1%
2.0%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥5,660.003
Aug ’24JP¥3,305.00
JP¥3,966.67
+20.0%
2.4%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥4,960.003
Jul ’24JP¥3,375.00
JP¥3,950.00
+17.0%
1.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥4,440.002
Jun ’24JP¥3,215.00
JP¥3,950.00
+22.9%
1.3%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,900.00JP¥4,640.002
May ’24JP¥3,025.00
JP¥3,750.00
+24.0%
6.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,340.002
Apr ’24JP¥2,561.00
JP¥3,600.00
+40.6%
2.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥5,120.002
Mar ’24JP¥2,507.00
JP¥3,600.00
+43.6%
2.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,635.002
Feb ’24JP¥2,251.00
JP¥3,600.00
+59.9%
2.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,315.002
Jan ’24JP¥2,139.00
JP¥3,600.00
+68.3%
2.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥4,025.002
Dec ’23JP¥2,318.00
JP¥3,600.00
+55.3%
2.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,750.002
Nov ’23JP¥2,274.00
JP¥3,600.00
+58.3%
2.8%JP¥3,700.00JP¥3,500.00JP¥3,485.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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