The board of Aichi Tokei Denki Co., Ltd. (TSE:7723) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of June, with investors receiving ¥45.00 per share. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.3%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Aichi Tokei Denki's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Aichi Tokei Denki's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 12.5% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 34% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
See our latest analysis for Aichi Tokei Denki
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥33.33 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥90.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Aichi Tokei Denki has impressed us by growing EPS at 13% per year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
In Summary
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Aichi Tokei Denki that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Aichi Tokei Denki not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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