The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies DAIWA TSUSHIN Co., Ltd (TSE:7116) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is DAIWA TSUSHIN's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2025, DAIWA TSUSHIN had JP¥2.59b of debt, up from JP¥724.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of JP¥400.0m, its net debt is less, at about JP¥2.19b.
How Strong Is DAIWA TSUSHIN's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, DAIWA TSUSHIN had liabilities of JP¥2.69b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥495.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥400.0m in cash and JP¥484.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling JP¥2.30b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of JP¥2.14b, we think shareholders really should watch DAIWA TSUSHIN's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
View our latest analysis for DAIWA TSUSHIN
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
DAIWA TSUSHIN's net debt is 3.8 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 30.2 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. It is well worth noting that DAIWA TSUSHIN's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 95% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is DAIWA TSUSHIN's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, DAIWA TSUSHIN saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about DAIWA TSUSHIN's difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that DAIWA TSUSHIN is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for DAIWA TSUSHIN (of which 3 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.