Stock Analysis

CMK Corporation (TSE:6958) Stock's 34% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

TSE:6958
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CMK Corporation (TSE:6958) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 34% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 30% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, CMK's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, CMK has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for CMK

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6958 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CMK will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is CMK's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as CMK's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 139%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 18% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that CMK's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

CMK's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that CMK currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Having said that, be aware CMK is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CMK. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.