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There's No Escaping Chino Corporation's (TSE:6850) Muted Earnings Despite A 25% Share Price Rise
Chino Corporation (TSE:6850) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Chino as an attractive investment with its 9.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Chino certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Chino
Is There Any Growth For Chino?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Chino's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 89% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.4% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 9.3% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Chino is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Chino's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Chino maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Chino that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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