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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About SEIKOH GIKEN Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6834) 32% Share Price Plunge
To the annoyance of some shareholders, SEIKOH GIKEN Co., Ltd. (TSE:6834) shares are down a considerable 32% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 66%, which is great even in a bull market.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given around half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may still consider SEIKOH GIKEN as a stock to potentially avoid with its 15.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
SEIKOH GIKEN certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for SEIKOH GIKEN
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as SEIKOH GIKEN's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 216%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 48% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 28% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that SEIKOH GIKEN's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
SEIKOH GIKEN's P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that SEIKOH GIKEN maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware SEIKOH GIKEN is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6834
SEIKOH GIKEN
Engages in design, manufacture, and sale of optical components and lens, and radio over fiber products in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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