Stock Analysis

Sumida (TSE:6817) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

TSE:6817
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Sumida Corporation's (TSE:6817) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Sumida

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TSE:6817 Earnings and Revenue History March 29th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Sumida issued 20% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Sumida's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting Sumida's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

As you can see above, Sumida has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 512% over three years. But EPS was only up 449% per year, in the exact same period. While we did see a very small decrease, net profit was basically flat over the last year. In contrast, earnings per share are actually down a full 11%, over the last twelve months. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

In the long term, if Sumida's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sumida.

Our Take On Sumida's Profit Performance

Over the last year Sumida issued new shares and so, there's a noteworthy divergence between EPS and net income growth. Because of this, we think that it may be that Sumida's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Sumida as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Sumida has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sumida's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sumida is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.