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Hirose Electric Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6806) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.7x Hirose Electric Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6806) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Hirose ElectricLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Hirose ElectricLtd
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hirose ElectricLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 30% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 23% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.9% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.1% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hirose ElectricLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On Hirose ElectricLtd's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Hirose ElectricLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hirose ElectricLtd.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hirose ElectricLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6806
Hirose ElectricLtd
Manufactures and sells connectors in Japan and internationally.