Stock Analysis

Hirose Electric Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6806) Just Released Its Yearly Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

TSE:6806
Source: Shutterstock

It's been a pretty great week for Hirose Electric Co.,Ltd. (TSE:6806) shareholders, with its shares surging 13% to JP¥18,905 in the week since its latest yearly results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of JP¥166b and statutory earnings per share of JP¥772. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Hirose ElectricLtd

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:6806 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 9th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Hirose ElectricLtd's 14 analysts is for revenues of JP¥169.4b in 2025. This would reflect a credible 2.3% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 2.9% to JP¥805. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of JP¥167.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥801 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at JP¥17,775. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Hirose ElectricLtd at JP¥22,300 per share, while the most bearish prices it at JP¥15,000. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Hirose ElectricLtd's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 2.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.3% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.1% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Hirose ElectricLtd.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Hirose ElectricLtd's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Hirose ElectricLtd analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hirose ElectricLtd you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hirose ElectricLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.