Stock Analysis

Does Nihon Dempa Kogyo (TSE:6779) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSE:6779
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Nihon Dempa Kogyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:6779) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Nihon Dempa Kogyo

How Much Debt Does Nihon Dempa Kogyo Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Nihon Dempa Kogyo had JP¥23.5b of debt in March 2024, down from JP¥25.0b, one year before. On the flip side, it has JP¥12.3b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥11.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:6779 Debt to Equity History June 19th 2024

How Healthy Is Nihon Dempa Kogyo's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nihon Dempa Kogyo had liabilities of JP¥13.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥25.1b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had JP¥12.3b in cash and JP¥13.0b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥13.5b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Nihon Dempa Kogyo is worth JP¥28.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With net debt sitting at just 1.4 times EBITDA, Nihon Dempa Kogyo is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.9 times, which is more than adequate. In fact Nihon Dempa Kogyo's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 48% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nihon Dempa Kogyo can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Nihon Dempa Kogyo recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Nihon Dempa Kogyo's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Nihon Dempa Kogyo's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Nihon Dempa Kogyo has 4 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nihon Dempa Kogyo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.