Stock Analysis

Japan Cash Machine's (TSE:6418) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

TSE:6418
Source: Shutterstock

The board of Japan Cash Machine Co., Ltd. (TSE:6418) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥36.00 on the 4th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.4%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Japan Cash Machine

Japan Cash Machine's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, Japan Cash Machine was paying a whopping 174% as a dividend, but this only made up 21% of its overall earnings. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 57.6% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 19%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
TSE:6418 Historic Dividend February 8th 2025

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥16.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥40.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.6% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Japan Cash Machine might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's encouraging to see that Japan Cash Machine has been growing its earnings per share at 58% a year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.

Our Thoughts On Japan Cash Machine's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Japan Cash Machine's payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Japan Cash Machine that investors should take into consideration. Is Japan Cash Machine not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:6418

Japan Cash Machine

Develops, manufactures, and sells money-handling and amusement center machines in Japan and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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