Stock Analysis

Is Shinden Hightex Corporation (TYO:3131) A Strong Dividend Stock?

TSE:3131
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Dividend paying stocks like Shinden Hightex Corporation (TYO:3131) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research suggests a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With a 2.5% yield and a six-year payment history, investors probably think Shinden Hightex looks like a reliable dividend stock. A low yield is generally a turn-off, but if the prospects for earnings growth were strong, investors might be pleasantly surprised by the long-term results. During the year, the company also conducted a buyback equivalent to around 4.6% of its market capitalisation. That said, the recent jump in the share price will make Shinden Hightex's dividend yield look smaller, even though the company prospects could be improving. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Shinden Hightex for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Shinden Hightex!

historic-dividend
JASDAQ:3131 Historic Dividend January 22nd 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Shinden Hightex paid out 29% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. A medium payout ratio strikes a good balance between paying dividends, and keeping enough back to invest in the business. One of the risks is that management reinvests the retained capital poorly instead of paying a higher dividend.

We also measure dividends paid against a company's levered free cash flow, to see if enough cash was generated to cover the dividend. Unfortunately, while Shinden Hightex pays a dividend, it also reported negative free cash flow last year. While there may be a good reason for this, it's not ideal from a dividend perspective.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Shinden Hightex's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Shinden Hightex has been paying a dividend for the past six years. It's good to see that Shinden Hightex has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past six-year period, the first annual payment was JP¥55.0 in 2015, compared to JP¥45.0 last year. This works out to be a decline of approximately 3.3% per year over that time. Shinden Hightex's dividend has been cut sharply at least once, so it hasn't fallen by 3.3% every year, but this is a decent approximation of the long term change.

We struggle to make a case for buying Shinden Hightex for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past six years.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Shinden Hightex's EPS have declined at around 6.5% a year. If earnings continue to decline, the dividend may come under pressure. Every investor should make an assessment of whether the company is taking steps to stabilise the situation.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Shinden Hightex has a low payout ratio, which we like, although it paid out virtually all of its generated cash. Earnings per share are down, and Shinden Hightex's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. In summary, Shinden Hightex has a number of shortcomings that we'd find it hard to get past. Things could change, but we think there are likely more attractive alternatives out there.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come accross 4 warning signs for Shinden Hightex you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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