Stock Analysis

Additional Considerations Required While Assessing JBCC Holdings' (TSE:9889) Strong Earnings

TSE:9889
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JBCC Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:9889) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for JBCC Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:9889 Earnings and Revenue History May 21st 2024

Examining Cashflow Against JBCC Holdings' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to March 2024, JBCC Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.20. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP¥1.1b during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of JP¥3.19b. We note, however, that JBCC Holdings grew its free cash flow over the last year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On JBCC Holdings' Profit Performance

JBCC Holdings' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that JBCC Holdings' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 69% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into JBCC Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with JBCC Holdings (including 1 which is significant).

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of JBCC Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.