Stock Analysis
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies INES Corporation (TSE:9742) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for INES
What Is INES's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 INES had debt of JP¥5.00b, up from none in one year. But it also has JP¥10.4b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥5.38b net cash.
How Strong Is INES' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that INES had liabilities of JP¥7.05b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥8.65b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥10.4b in cash and JP¥5.76b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥441.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that INES' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the JP¥29.7b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, INES boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In fact INES's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 50% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is INES's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While INES has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, INES saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case INES has JP¥5.38b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while INES does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example INES has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:9742
INES
Provides information network system services to industrial corporations, financial institutions, and public entities in Japan.