Stock Analysis
With A 28% Price Drop For Intelligent Wave Inc. (TSE:4847) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
Intelligent Wave Inc. (TSE:4847) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 9.6% over that longer period.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may still consider Intelligent Wave as a stock to potentially avoid with its 15.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Intelligent Wave has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Intelligent Wave
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
Intelligent Wave's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 20% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 70% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Intelligent Wave's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Intelligent Wave's P/E?
Despite the recent share price weakness, Intelligent Wave's P/E remains higher than most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Intelligent Wave maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Intelligent Wave, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Intelligent Wave. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:4847
Intelligent Wave
Provides system development services and system products in Japan and internationally.