Stock Analysis

SAKURA KCS Corporation (TSE:4761) Stock Rockets 56% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

TSE:4761
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The SAKURA KCS Corporation (TSE:4761) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 56%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 79% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think SAKURA KCS' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Japan is similar at about 15x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Earnings have risen firmly for SAKURA KCS recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for SAKURA KCS

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4761 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on SAKURA KCS' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is SAKURA KCS' Growth Trending?

SAKURA KCS' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 19% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 82% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that SAKURA KCS is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On SAKURA KCS' P/E

SAKURA KCS' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of SAKURA KCS revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for SAKURA KCS that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than SAKURA KCS. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SAKURA KCS is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.