OBIC Business Consultants Co., Ltd.

TSE:4733 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥516.0b

OBIC Business Consultants Valuation

Is 4733 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4733 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4733 (¥6951) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8021.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4733 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4733?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

4733 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.7x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4733's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4733 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34x
3923 Rakus
79.5x26.4%JP¥442.3b
4686 JustSystems
19xn/aJP¥228.0b
2317 Systena
18.4x2.5%JP¥145.6b
4432 WingArc1st
19x14.0%JP¥102.0b
4733 OBIC Business Consultants
34.8x9.8%JP¥516.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4733 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.8x) compared to the peer average (34x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4733's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4733 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.8x) compared to the JP Software industry average (22.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4733's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4733 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.8x
Fair PE Ratio26.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4733 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4733 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥6,951.00
JP¥7,761.11
+11.7%
11.2%JP¥9,600.00JP¥6,550.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥6,034.00
JP¥7,744.44
+28.3%
7.1%JP¥8,700.00JP¥6,900.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥6,750.00
JP¥7,800.00
+15.6%
6.9%JP¥8,700.00JP¥6,900.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥6,299.00
JP¥7,975.00
+26.6%
5.7%JP¥8,700.00JP¥7,000.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥6,320.00
JP¥7,972.22
+26.1%
3.6%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,600.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥7,396.00
JP¥7,916.67
+7.0%
4.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,500.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥7,321.00
JP¥7,916.67
+8.1%
4.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,500.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥7,062.00
JP¥7,744.44
+9.7%
4.9%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥6,450.00
JP¥7,262.50
+12.6%
5.8%JP¥7,700.00JP¥6,500.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥6,887.00
JP¥7,233.33
+5.0%
5.6%JP¥7,700.00JP¥6,500.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥6,525.00
JP¥6,847.27
+4.9%
8.1%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,800.00n/a11
Oct ’24JP¥6,200.00
JP¥6,820.00
+10.0%
8.4%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,800.00n/a11
Sep ’24JP¥6,230.00
JP¥6,774.55
+8.7%
8.5%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,800.00n/a11
Aug ’24JP¥6,000.00
JP¥6,401.82
+6.7%
7.6%JP¥7,600.00JP¥5,600.00JP¥6,034.0011
Jul ’24JP¥5,260.00
JP¥6,260.00
+19.0%
8.3%JP¥7,500.00JP¥5,400.00JP¥6,750.0012
Jun ’24JP¥5,220.00
JP¥6,260.00
+19.9%
8.3%JP¥7,500.00JP¥5,400.00JP¥6,299.0012
May ’24JP¥5,000.00
JP¥6,013.64
+20.3%
7.2%JP¥6,600.00JP¥5,250.00JP¥6,320.0011
Apr ’24JP¥4,990.00
JP¥5,904.55
+18.3%
7.7%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥7,396.0011
Mar ’24JP¥4,845.00
JP¥5,904.55
+21.9%
7.7%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥7,321.0011
Feb ’24JP¥4,985.00
JP¥5,845.45
+17.3%
9.6%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥7,062.0011
Jan ’24JP¥4,295.00
JP¥5,690.91
+32.5%
15.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥6,450.0011
Dec ’23JP¥4,720.00
JP¥5,554.55
+17.7%
16.8%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥6,887.0011
Nov ’23JP¥4,310.00
JP¥5,504.55
+27.7%
17.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥6,525.0011
Oct ’23JP¥4,480.00
JP¥5,470.00
+22.1%
17.2%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,150.00JP¥6,200.0010
Sep ’23JP¥4,990.00
JP¥5,470.00
+9.6%
17.2%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,150.00JP¥6,230.0010
Aug ’23JP¥4,555.00
JP¥5,590.91
+22.7%
18.3%JP¥7,100.00JP¥4,250.00JP¥6,000.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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