WingArc1st Valuation

Is 4432 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4432 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4432 (¥3360) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4881.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4432 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4432?

Key metric: As 4432 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4432. This is calculated by dividing 4432's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4432's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.6x
EarningsJP¥5.61b
Market CapJP¥115.86b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4432's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4432 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
2317 Systena
15.6x7.2%JP¥124.4b
3993 PKSHA Technology
38.4x23.8%JP¥114.3b
4776 Cybozu
37.4xn/aJP¥98.4b
9928 Miroku Jyoho Service
12.8x8.6%JP¥57.3b
4432 WingArc1st
20.6x12.7%JP¥115.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4432 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4432's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4432 20.6xIndustry Avg. 21.8xNo. of Companies20PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4432 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the JP Software industry average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4432's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4432 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.6x
Fair PE Ratio24.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4432 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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