Plus Alpha Consulting Co.,Ltd.

TSE:4071 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥69.8b

Plus Alpha ConsultingLtd Valuation

Is 4071 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4071 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4071 (¥1643) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥4260.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4071 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4071?

Key metric: As 4071 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4071. This is calculated by dividing 4071's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4071's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.6x
EarningsJP¥3.09b
Market CapJP¥69.81b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4071's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4071 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average69.6x
4165 PLAIDInc
167.7x64.2%JP¥53.7b
3661 m-up holdings
35xn/aJP¥53.4b
4776 Cybozu
37.4xn/aJP¥98.4b
3993 PKSHA Technology
38.4x23.8%JP¥114.3b
4071 Plus Alpha ConsultingLtd
22.6x17.3%JP¥69.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4071 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the peer average (69.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4071's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4071 22.6xIndustry Avg. 21.8xNo. of Companies20PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4071 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the JP Software industry average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4071's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4071 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4071 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4071 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,643.00
JP¥3,090.00
+88.1%
5.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,900.00n/a5
Nov ’25JP¥2,089.00
JP¥3,090.00
+47.9%
5.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,900.00n/a5
Oct ’25JP¥2,211.00
JP¥3,150.00
+42.5%
4.7%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Sep ’25JP¥1,884.00
JP¥3,260.00
+73.0%
4.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Aug ’25JP¥1,859.00
JP¥3,260.00
+75.4%
4.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Jul ’25JP¥1,845.00
JP¥3,260.00
+76.7%
4.6%JP¥3,400.00JP¥3,000.00n/a5
Jun ’25JP¥1,862.00
JP¥3,580.00
+92.3%
8.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
May ’25JP¥2,029.00
JP¥3,580.00
+76.4%
8.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
Apr ’25JP¥2,317.00
JP¥3,580.00
+54.5%
8.0%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,200.00n/a5
Mar ’25JP¥2,534.00
JP¥3,700.00
+46.0%
5.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,450.00n/a4
Feb ’25JP¥2,584.00
JP¥3,700.00
+43.2%
5.8%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,450.00n/a4
Jan ’25JP¥2,837.00
JP¥3,783.33
+33.4%
4.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,550.00n/a3
Dec ’24JP¥2,676.00
JP¥3,783.33
+41.4%
4.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,550.00n/a3
Nov ’24JP¥2,430.00
JP¥3,787.50
+55.9%
4.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,550.00JP¥2,089.004
Oct ’24JP¥2,804.00
JP¥3,900.00
+39.1%
2.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,211.004
Sep ’24JP¥2,830.00
JP¥3,975.00
+40.5%
2.7%JP¥4,100.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥1,884.004
Aug ’24JP¥2,795.00
JP¥4,025.00
+44.0%
3.7%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥1,859.004
Jul ’24JP¥3,320.00
JP¥4,025.00
+21.2%
3.7%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥1,845.004
Jun ’24JP¥3,005.00
JP¥4,050.00
+34.8%
4.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥1,862.004
May ’24JP¥2,874.00
JP¥4,050.00
+40.9%
4.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,029.004
Apr ’24JP¥3,005.00
JP¥3,700.00
+23.1%
12.3%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,317.003
Mar ’24JP¥2,869.00
JP¥3,400.00
+18.5%
8.7%JP¥3,800.00JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,534.003
Feb ’24JP¥2,831.00
JP¥3,233.33
+14.2%
15.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,584.003
Jan ’24JP¥2,720.00
JP¥3,233.33
+18.9%
15.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,837.003
Dec ’23JP¥3,050.00
JP¥2,950.00
-3.3%
11.9%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,676.002
Nov ’23JP¥2,357.00
JP¥2,950.00
+25.2%
11.9%JP¥3,300.00JP¥2,600.00JP¥2,430.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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