OBIC Business Consultants Co., Ltd.

TSE:4733 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥524.6b

OBIC Business Consultants Valuation

Is 4733 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4733 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4733 (¥6980) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7650.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4733 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4733?

Key metric: As 4733 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4733. This is calculated by dividing 4733's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4733's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio34.1x
EarningsJP¥15.37b
Market CapJP¥524.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4733's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4733 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.8x
3923 Rakus
53.9x26.0%JP¥355.8b
4686 JustSystems
18xn/aJP¥211.0b
2317 Systena
15.4x7.2%JP¥122.6b
4432 WingArc1st
19.8x12.7%JP¥111.4b
4733 OBIC Business Consultants
34.1x10.2%JP¥524.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4733 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.1x) compared to the peer average (26.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4733's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
4733 34.1xIndustry Avg. 22.4xNo. of Companies22PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4733 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.1x) compared to the JP Software industry average (22.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4733's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4733 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.1x
Fair PE Ratio29x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4733 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4733 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥6,980.00
JP¥7,961.11
+14.1%
10.9%JP¥9,600.00JP¥6,750.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥6,748.00
JP¥7,916.67
+17.3%
11.5%JP¥9,600.00JP¥6,550.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥7,348.00
JP¥7,865.00
+7.0%
11.1%JP¥9,600.00JP¥6,550.00n/a10
Sep ’25JP¥7,130.00
JP¥7,815.00
+9.6%
10.8%JP¥9,600.00JP¥6,550.00n/a10
Aug ’25JP¥6,034.00
JP¥7,744.44
+28.3%
7.1%JP¥8,700.00JP¥6,900.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥6,750.00
JP¥7,800.00
+15.6%
6.9%JP¥8,700.00JP¥6,900.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥6,299.00
JP¥7,975.00
+26.6%
5.7%JP¥8,700.00JP¥7,000.00n/a8
May ’25JP¥6,320.00
JP¥7,972.22
+26.1%
3.6%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,600.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥7,396.00
JP¥7,916.67
+7.0%
4.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,500.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥7,321.00
JP¥7,916.67
+8.1%
4.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,500.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥7,062.00
JP¥7,744.44
+9.7%
4.9%JP¥8,500.00JP¥7,300.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥6,450.00
JP¥7,262.50
+12.6%
5.8%JP¥7,700.00JP¥6,500.00n/a8
Dec ’24JP¥6,887.00
JP¥7,233.33
+5.0%
5.6%JP¥7,700.00JP¥6,500.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥6,525.00
JP¥6,847.27
+4.9%
8.1%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥6,748.0011
Oct ’24JP¥6,200.00
JP¥6,820.00
+10.0%
8.4%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥7,348.0011
Sep ’24JP¥6,230.00
JP¥6,774.55
+8.7%
8.5%JP¥7,700.00JP¥5,800.00JP¥7,130.0011
Aug ’24JP¥6,000.00
JP¥6,401.82
+6.7%
7.6%JP¥7,600.00JP¥5,600.00JP¥6,034.0011
Jul ’24JP¥5,260.00
JP¥6,260.00
+19.0%
8.3%JP¥7,500.00JP¥5,400.00JP¥6,750.0012
Jun ’24JP¥5,220.00
JP¥6,260.00
+19.9%
8.3%JP¥7,500.00JP¥5,400.00JP¥6,299.0012
May ’24JP¥5,000.00
JP¥6,013.64
+20.3%
7.2%JP¥6,600.00JP¥5,250.00JP¥6,320.0011
Apr ’24JP¥4,990.00
JP¥5,904.55
+18.3%
7.7%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥7,396.0011
Mar ’24JP¥4,845.00
JP¥5,904.55
+21.9%
7.7%JP¥6,500.00JP¥5,200.00JP¥7,321.0011
Feb ’24JP¥4,985.00
JP¥5,845.45
+17.3%
9.6%JP¥6,500.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥7,062.0011
Jan ’24JP¥4,295.00
JP¥5,690.91
+32.5%
15.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥6,450.0011
Dec ’23JP¥4,720.00
JP¥5,554.55
+17.7%
16.8%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,200.00JP¥6,887.0011
Nov ’23JP¥4,310.00
JP¥5,504.55
+27.7%
17.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,000.00JP¥6,525.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

GRCS

JP¥1.9b

Engages in the provision of Governance, Risk, and Compliance (GRC) software, as well as security products in Japan and internationally.

9250

JP¥1,411.00

7D

-3.4%

1Y

-19.8%

ID Holdings

JP¥27.3b

Provides information technology (IT) services in Japan.

4709

JP¥1,617.00

7D

5.2%

1Y

6.8%

WingArc1st

JP¥114.0b

Develops and sells software and services in Japan.

4432

JP¥3,225.00

7D

-3.3%

1Y

3.4%