Stock Analysis

FLECT's (TSE:4414) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Even though FLECT Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4414) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:4414 Earnings and Revenue History November 20th 2025
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Zooming In On FLECT's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

FLECT has an accrual ratio of -0.20 for the year to September 2025. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of JP¥1.0b, well over the JP¥713.0m it reported in profit. Notably, FLECT had negative free cash flow last year, so the JP¥1.0b it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On FLECT's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, FLECT produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that FLECT's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into FLECT, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for FLECT and you'll want to know about it.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of FLECT's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.