Stock Analysis

Does Sourcenext (TSE:4344) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Sourcenext Corporation (TSE:4344) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sourcenext

How Much Debt Does Sourcenext Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sourcenext had debt of JP¥5.79b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from JP¥6.99b over a year. However, it does have JP¥3.54b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥2.25b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:4344 Debt to Equity History January 16th 2025

A Look At Sourcenext's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sourcenext had liabilities of JP¥7.29b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥1.68b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥3.54b in cash and JP¥1.67b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥3.76b.

Given Sourcenext has a market capitalization of JP¥27.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Sourcenext will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year Sourcenext wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 3.0%, to JP¥11b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Sourcenext produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost JP¥2.5b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled JP¥2.0b in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sourcenext you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:4344

Sourcenext

Develops and distributes various software products in Japan and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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