Stock Analysis

Densan System Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4072) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch

TSE:4072
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With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 13x in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Densan System Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4072) P/E ratio of 12.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Densan System Holdings' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

View our latest analysis for Densan System Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:4072 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Densan System Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Growth For Densan System Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Densan System Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year EPS growth is still a noteworthy 13% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per year as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.6% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Densan System Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Densan System Holdings' P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Densan System Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Densan System Holdings that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.