Stmn, Inc.'s (TSE:4019) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 26% Slump
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Stmn, Inc. (TSE:4019) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 9.6% during the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 13x, you may still consider Stmn as a stock to avoid entirely with its 41.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Stmn has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Stmn
How Is Stmn's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Stmn's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 103%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.1% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Stmn's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.
The Final Word
Stmn's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Stmn maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Stmn, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Stmn. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Stmn might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.